Melbourne will be desperate to turn around their flagging season when they host Fremantle at the MCG on Saturday afternoon.
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Melbourne are a train wreck at the moment and the numbers point to a comfortable Freo win here.
The Dockers have covered the spread in eight straight games as favourites against Melbourne. These teams met twice last season, with Freo winning both games by 50 and 92 points respectively.
Melbourne’s long-standing issue hitting the scoreboard has only been worsened by a drop-off in midfield dominance this year. Through five games they are the second-lowest scoring team, averaging just 62 points per game, and they rank second-last for clearances.
Fremantle have significantly improved their offensive output in 2025, currently ranked fourth for points scored at 97 per game. They should post a big total again this week and comfortably cover this line.
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Treacy is in elite form this season, booting 16 goals in his last four games, while Michael Frederick has scored three snags in each of his last two.
Hayden Young spent a lot of time forward last week and kicked two.
Value Bet
The Dees simply cannot run out games this year. They are averaging 8.2 points in the final quarter, failing to hit 10 points in four of five games.
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