AFL Tips – Melbourne v Fremantle – Round 11 2022

The Dees should prevail in the battle of top defences.

Best Bet

Melbourne -28.5

This was a potential clash between the top two sides on the ladder before Fremantle lost their way in the last two weeks, losing to Gold Coast on the road and Collingwood at home.

The Dockers hot start to the season was driven by one thing only. Defence. Interestingly, defence is also Melbourne’s strong suit. Unlike Fremantle, Melbourne do other things well.

At less than five goals, the number here looks too low. Melbourne have been utterly dominant in 2022, They haven’t lost. They haven’t looked like losing. Their percentage of 161 is up there with the greatest sides of all time.

One area they have been slightly less dominant at is against the line, covering just six of ten. But this is a bad match up for Freo.

Melbourne aren’t great offensively. But their midfield, led by Clayton Oliver and Christian Petracca will give them enough opportunities.

At some point, the dam will break, and Freo simply won’t have any answers against a vastly better version of themselves.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Melbourne -28.5, S. Weideman 2+ Goals, C. Oliver 30+ Disposals

Weideman gets the nod with Tom McDonald missing through injury. He should get the lesser of the key defender matchups with the main stopper going to Ben Brown. Oliver is in electric form and should find plenty of footy again.

Value Bet


This one could get really ugly for Freo. Their form in the last two weeks has been horrid and now they face the toughest test in footy.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.