AFL Tips – Melbourne v Essendon – Round 5 2025

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Best Bet

Essendon

Q4 Winner

$1.89

This is a pretty ugly match-up, so we’re going super niche for our best bet.

Melbourne’s fourth quarters have been abysmal in 2025. They’ve lost all four by an average margin of 25.5 points, scoring just 8, 8, 14, and 3 points in those final terms.

Essendon, on the other hand, have finished games well, winning two of three final quarters and averaging 33 points themselves. They overran Port Adelaide prior to their bye, dominating the final term 28–10.

In a clash between two average sides, Melbourne falling away late again looks like the strongest angle.

Same Game Multi

Esssendon Q4 Win, Z.Merrett & C.Oliver 25+ Disposals, D.Shiel 20+ Disposals

TBC

Merrett 25+ may be the best multi booster of the year. He’s hit this mark in 11 straight at Adelaide Oval and eight straight against Melbourne.

Dylan Shiel has a great record in this match-up, notching up 25+ in 10 straight against the Dees.

Clayton Oliver has had 30+ in each of his last three games.

Value Bet

Zach Merrett

35+ Disposals

TBC

Some huge prices are about for Merrett to hit 35, coming off 34, 36, 26 and 37 in his last four. He’s also hit 35+ in two of his last three against Melbourne.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.