The reigning premiers look to go four straight over Melbourne, who arrive at the MCG coming off a shock loss to Essendon last week.
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Best Bet
This is a massive total but it may not be massive enough.
Melbourne games are averaging 207 points this season, the highest in the competition, while Brisbane games sit fifth at 186. Last week’s game against North was the only Lions game this year where neither team kicked 100 points. Every other meeting has produced a shootout.
Under Steven King, Melbourne have transformed from one of the competition’s most dour teams into one of its most exciting. They will take the game on, leave gaps at the back and invite Brisbane into a high-scoring contest. The Lions have always backed themselves in that kind of game and have the forward line to deliver.
Good weather is forecast with no rain to suppress scoring, and each of Melbourne’s last five home games has gone over the total.
Take the over and cheer on the goals.
Same Game Multi
The underdog has won six of the last seven in this match-up, but there is an enormous class gap between these sides in 2026. Brisbane should be too good.
Zac Bailey has kicked two or more goals in four straight away games while Lincoln McCarthy has five goals in his last three weeks.
Value Bet
McCarthy has been excellent since returning from injury, kicking two goals in each of his last two games. Melbourne’s defensive strength lies against key forwards while small and medium forwards have caused them more problems. With so many potent Lions forwards demanding attention, McCarthy should find himself in a favourable match-up all afternoon.
Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2026 AFL season.
