AFL Tips – Hawthorn v St Kilda – Round 9 2024

Hawks vs Saints | AFL Tips

The Hawks rediscovered the winning feeling last week and look primed for back to back wins as outsiders against the Saints.

Best Bet

Hawthorn +10.5
Line

We covered all the reasons why the Hawks are not as bad as they are perceived to be when we tipped them last week against the Bulldogs and there is no reason to drop off against the Saints.

It’s a blow losing skipper James Sicily with injury but the advantage the Hawks have down at Launceston shouldn’t be underrated.

The Hawks have won 34 of 45 in Launceston and have covered in 25 of them. They have a terrific record as outsiders, having covered in seven of eleven and caused upsets five times.

Despite Hawthorn’s relative struggles in 2023 they managed to win two of three down there and managed to cover in all three at Launny.

It’s hard to get excited about the Saints either. Their wins have come over North, Richmond and that weird early round version of Collingwood. They haven’t been a good favourite in 2024, only covering in one of three when favoured by the bookies.

The Hawks are an excellent bet with the points here.


Same Game Multi

Hawthorn +10.5, Sinclair 30+, Wanganeen-Milera 25+ Disposals

Jack Sinclair switched to a mostly midfield role last week against the Roos and had 33 disposals. He can have another big game here.

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is a super consistent ball winner in the back half for the Saints.


Value Bet

Hawthorn
Win

The Hawks love causing an upset in Tasie and can make it back to back wins here.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.