Hawthorn head to Launceston for what has become one of the most reliable betting propositions in the competition, while Melbourne are making their first trip to UTAS Stadium ever.
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Best Bet
Hawthorn at Launceston is an automatic bet and the record demands respect.
The Hawks have won 12 straight at UTAS Stadium and covered the line in 12 of their last 14. The two that missed the line did so by just 1.5 and 0.5 points. This is as consistent a trend as you will find anywhere in the competition.
The Dees have looked a little more shaky recently, only winning two of their last five, against Collingwood and Essendon. They are also 0-5 outside Victoria in 2026, only covering in two of those games.
Jack Gunston returns for Hawthorn while Nick Watson, Josh Battle and Karl Amon are key outs, joining Jarman Impey and Josh Weddle on the sidelines. Melbourne come off the bye with no fresh injury concerns.
Despite the absences, back the Hawks to continue their extraordinary Launceston dominance.
Same Game Multi
Jai Newcombe has had 30 or more disposals in each of his last three games and is in the form of his career. James Sicily has had 20 or more disposals in each of his last eight games against Melbourne.
Melbourne are the best match-up for small forwards in the competition and with Watson out, Jack Ginnivan should step up to fill the void in the forward line.
Value Bet
Young Jack Dalton kicked two last week and Melbourne remain the best match-up for small forwards in the competition. With Watson out, the forward load spreads further and Dalton is a big price for another two.
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