AFL Tips – Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions – Round 24 2025

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Best Bet

Hawthorn +9.5

Line

$1.90

The numbers all point to the Hawks here.

Brisbane remain a poor bet at home, covering the spread in just two of ten matches at the Gabba this season and only one of five at home against top-nine teams.

They’ve also struggled badly as favourites in 2025, covering the line in just five of 17 games overall and only two of eight against top-nine opponents.

The underdog has dominated this match-up, winning and covering in each of the last five meetings.

Hawthorn have been strong against fellow top-nine teams lately, covering the line in four of their last five. They’ve lost just two of their past ten games, against Adelaide and Fremantle, and led at the final change in both of those defeats.

Brisbane lose two experienced players in Jarrod Berry and Eric Hipwood this week but regain Kai Lohmann, while the Hawks go in unchanged.

With finals-like pressure expected to make this a contested, lower-scoring game, back the Hawks to keep it close.

Same Game Multi

Brisbane +9.5, W.Ashcroft & H.McCluggage 25+ Disposals, N.Watson Anytime Goal

$5.00

Hawthorn remain a difficult same game multi team as they are so even across the park. They also don’t tag often, so the Brisbane mids should be right to run free.

Hugh McCluggage has had 25+ in six of his last seven, while Will Ashcroft has done the same in five of six.

Nick Watson has kicked a goal in eight straight.

Value Bet

Hawthorn 1-24

Margin

$3.75

The underdog has won the last five between these teams and Brisbane’s last four games. An upset is certainly a big possibility here, although given three of Brisbane’s last four losses have been by fewer than 24 points, it’s unlikely to be a blowout.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.