Hawthorn have found form and look capable of pushing the Lions on Sunday at Marvel Stadium.
Best Bet
It’s one of the great oddities given their relative positions on the ladder that Hawthorn have beaten Brisbane the last four times they have met.
Two of those wins have been at Launceston, with the other two at the MCG, but going across to Marvel Stadium should hold no fears for the Hawks, who have covered the line in all three games at the venue this season.
They should be riding a three game winning streak into this, with only their lapse allowing two goals to Port in the last 40 seconds costing them victory last week. In light of subsequent results, their win over the Dogs in Round 8 looks really impressive now.
Brisbane come off a thumping win over the Tigers but their road form this season is a real worry. The Lions have only managed to win two from five away from the Gabba this season with one of those being a Gather Round win over North.
Getting a nice head start – and getting back some good personnel in James Sicily, Jack Scrimshaw and Jack Gunston, the Hawks are an excellent bet.
Insights
🏆 Hawthorn’s Winning Streak vs Brisbane: Hawthorn has dominated recent matchups with Brisbane Lions, achieving wins in all of their last 4 encounters and covering the spread in each.
🔥 High Scoring Games in Hawthorn vs Brisbane Matchups: Every game between Hawthorn and Brisbane Lions in the last 4 meetings has gone over the total points line.
📉 Brisbane’s Recent Performance Trends: In their last 9 games, Brisbane Lions have mostly been involved in low scoring games, achieving under the total points line 7 times.
Same Game Multi
For the Hawks, Will Day took a couple of games to find his best but was outstanding with 27 last week against the Power. Jai Newcombe has had 20 or more in eight of his last ten.
For Brisbane, Jarrod Berry is seeing more midfield time and has had 20 or more in seven of his last eight.
Value Bet
Like the Hawks to cause an upset here and make it five straight over the Lions.
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