AFL Tips – Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions – Round 10 2022

The goals should flow on a clear Sunday arvo in Launceston.

Best Bet

Over 170.5
Total Points

Hawthorn and Brisbane have been brilliant teams to back to clear the total and that should continue on Sunday.

The shackles have been released on Hawthorn and the points are following. Seven of their nine games have gone over including their last six.

Brisbane games have also cleared in four of the last five as well as in their last five interstate games and their last eight when they’ve been favoured by 24+ points.

While the loss of Jack Gunston will hurt Hawthorn’s potency in attack, Tom Mitchell and Changkuoth Jiath are two very big inclusions for Sam Mitchell’s team. The in-form Marcus Adams will also miss for Brisbane, somewhat offsetting Gunston’s absence.

The Hawks and Lions play in the fourth and fifth highest scoring games respectively and are both ranked top three for scoring accuracy.

They should comfortably clear the total again on Sunday.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.


Same Game Multi

Brisbane H2H, Over 170.5 Points, M.Lewis 2+ Goals, C.Wingard Anytime Goal

Launceston is not the fortress it once was for Hawthorn. They won 19 of 20 there between 2012 and 2016 but only 11 of 19 since. They’ve only won two of their last six there and covered the start in two of the last eight.

Hawthorn have two very reliable goalscoring options. Mitch Lewis is averaging three goals per game while Chad Wingard is being used as a pure forward this season and has kicked at least a goal in each of his last eight games.


Value Bet

Mitch Lewis
3+ Goals

The young Hawk continues to fly under the radar as one of the league’s most consistent goal kickers. Lewis has booted 3+ goals in five of his six games this year, including a bag of five. With Jack Gunston missing, expect him to attract even more footy than previous weeks.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.