AFL Tips – Hawthorn v Adelaide – Round 17 2022

Hawthorn vs Adelaide - Expert AFL Tips

Expect plenty of points, and quite possibly an upset.

Best Bet

Over 174.5
Total Match Points

Everything points to a high scoring game here. The Hawks have gone over the number in 11 of 15 games this season, with one of the “under” games being last week in a swimming pool against the Giants.

The Crows have been almost as strong on the over, clearing the number in 10 of 15 games this season.

Both sides have played twice at Marvel this season, clearing the number in both of them. The Crows Round 4 game against Essendon finished 99-103, and in Round 8 against Carlton they lost 116-68.

Hawthorn have also been involved in high scoring clashes at this ground, losing 108-81 in Round 8 against Essendon, and 125-83 against the Dogs in Round 15.

Both games between these two sides went over last year, with totals of 185 and 201.

Stylistically, the over makes sense as well. Hawthorn have been smashed at stoppages of late, meaning the Crows should generate plenty of scores from that source.

Meanwhile, Adelaide struggle to generate intercepts (ranked 11th in the league) and turnovers (ranked 12th), so Hawthorn should be able to move the footy.

Expect the points to flow.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide Win, Over 174.5 Points

There is a strong case for an Adelaide upset as well. The Crows have been playing really good footy over the last month against some top teams with their pressure being a particular highlight.

The Hawks have lost their last five games at Marvel by an average of 38 points and the injury list is starting to mount up.

Adelaide should be able to dominate the contest and with Jack Gunston out and Jacob Koschitzke out of form, that leaves an awful lot for Mitch Lewis to do down forward.

Value Bet

Over 199.5
Full Time Alternate Totals

It would hardly surprise if this one cracked the double ton given all four games these sides have played at Marvel this year have been very high scoring, two going over 200 points.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.