Adelaide head to Launceston on Friday night to take on the Hawks in a blockbuster match-up of two top four aspirants.
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Best Bet
Punters can’t split these teams but Hawthorn’s strong record in Launceston gives them the edge.
The Hawks have covered the line in nine straight games at UTAS Stadium with an average winning margin of 16 points. Three of those wins came against top eight sides.
Their only loss in that stretch at the ground was against Adelaide, but Hawthorn went into that match as 23-point underdogs.
After a patchy run of form, Sam Mitchell’s side responded in style last week by dominating the Bulldogs, one of the form teams in the competition.
Adelaide got over the line against the reigning premiers Brisbane by five points, but the Lions wasted plenty of chances. Expected scores had Brisbane winning by 32.
Hawthorn smashed Adelaide by 66 points when they met in 2024. The Crows have improved since then, but the Hawks are hard to go past at their Tasmanian home.
Same Game Multi
Jack Ginnivan has kicked a goal in each of his last seven games, while Josh Rachelle has done the same in nine of his last ten.
Josh Ward has had 20+ in five straight.
Value Bet
The average total in the last nine games at UTAS is only 150 and seven of Adelaide’s last eight games have gone under the total. Backing the under into Hawthorn’s home ground advantage looks a strong play.
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