AFL Tips – GWS v Fremantle – Round 23 2022

GWS are finishing the season in pitiful style and should be no match against a Freo side with everything to play for.

Best Bet

Fremantle -15.5

The wheels have fallen off GWS season and the Giants should be easy pickings for Freo.

Yes, the Giants won a fortnight ago against Essendon, but that performance looks far less impressive with the benefit of hindsight.

GWS have been an atrocious play against top eight sides all season. In fact, all six of their wins have come against the bottom seven sides on the ladder, of which they are one.

Remarkably, they have only covered three times from fourteen games against the top eleven sides on the ladder, suggesting the market hasn’t caught up to how bad they are.

Fremantle on the other hand have been a highly reliable proposition against poor opposition. They boast a near perfect 8-1 record against the bottom eight sides. They are a perfect 5-0 against the bottom four.

This game is being played in Canberra, which has been far from a happy hunting ground for the nominal home side. The Giants have lost their last six in Canberra, and failed to cover the line in any.

Again, Freo have the advantage, with a 6-2-1 record interstate this season, including wins over Geelong and Melbourne.

In a game where the Dockers have everything to play for, they should be far too good for the Giants.

Get on Betseeker Bingo with TopSport. If two or more listed players kick the first goal this round, you win! There are chances to win across all nine games.

Same Game Multi

H. Perryman 20+ Disposals, R.Lobb 2+ Goals, J.Riccardi S.Switkowski 1+ Goal

Harry Perryman has been attending more than 89% of centre bounces in the last two weeks. He has had 20 or more in the last eight games he has completed. Rory Lobb has been the Dockers main avenue to goal of late, while Jake Riccardi and Sam Switkwowski look decent valuye for a snag as well.

Value Bet

Fremantle 40+

This could easily turn into a blowout with one side having ample motivation, and the other side devoid of it. 61+ at $10 is worth a small ticket as well.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.