AFL Tips – GWS Giants v Sydney – Round 20 2025

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Best Bet

Sydney +9.5

Line

$1.90

It’s hard to ignore the Swans’ strong record in the derby.

The Bloods have won seven of their last eight matches against their crosstown rivals and have covered the line in six of their last seven at Engie Stadium, including each of their last five.

Sydney continued their late-season surge last week, running out 31-point winners over North Melbourne — their fifth win from their last six games. They could also regain Tom Papley for this clash.

The Giants are in excellent form too, having won five straight, including three wins over top eight opposition. But from a betting perspective, their record at Engie Stadium is poor. They’ve failed to cover the line in six of their last seven games as a home favourite.

Adam Kingsley’s side could be boosted by the return of star trio Josh Kelly, Sam Taylor and Jesse Hogan. While Kelly and Taylor would strengthen the midfield and defence, Hogan’s impact in this fixture has been limited, as he’s averaged just 1.8 goals per game across his last five derby appearances.

With only faint finals hopes remaining, expect the Swans to set themselves for this clash and stay within a couple of kicks of the Giants.

Same Game Multi

Sydney +9.5, J.Stringer 2+ goals, E.Gulden 25+ Disposals

$8.00

Steer clear of the Giants mids and half-backs, as both James Jordan and Braeden Campbell could be set for tagging roles.

Errol Gulden has run riot in recent derbies, recording 27+ touches in five of his last six against the Swans.

Jake Stringer has a great record against the Swans, booting 2+ in seven of his last eight against them.

Value Bet

E.Gulden

30+ Disposals

$3.75

As mentioned, Gulden has pigged out against the Swans lately, racking up 30.4 disposals on average from his last five, including three 29+ touch games and a 41 last year.

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