AFL Tips - GWS Giants v St Kilda

The Giants should secure a home elimination final with a win over St Kilda at Engie Stadium on Sunday.

Best Bet

GWS Giants -30.5

Line

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$1.90

The Giants have dominated bad teams all year and should score a big win here.

GWS have won 10 of 12 against bottom-nine sides this season, covering the line in nine and winning by an average of 34 points. At home, that margin jumps to 48 points.

Aside from their horror loss to the Dogs, a team they consistently struggle against, the Giants have won eight of their last nine. Five of their last six victories have been by more than the 30-point line on offer here.

The Saints are riding what might be the worst four-game winning streak in Australian football history, scraping past teams ranked 15th, 17th, 16th and 14th by a combined 21 points.

Their record against top-nine teams is poor, winning just two of 11 and covering in only four, with an average losing margin of 34 points. They’ve also failed to cover the line in six straight matches following a win.

With the Giants likely to regain Jack Buckley and Brent Daniels, back the home side to cover.

Same Game Multi

GWS -30.5, L.Whitfield 25+ Disposals, A.Cadman & T.Greene 2+ Goals

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$4.10

Aaron Cadman has kicked 2+ in eight of his last nine, while Toby Greene has kicked 2+ in six of seven plus five last time out against the Saints.

Lachie Whitfield has had 25+ in eight of his last ten with one injury affected game and one 24-touch effort.

Value Bet

L.Whitfield

35+ Disposals

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$4.33

Two half-backs in Mason Redman and Colby McKercher have hit the 35 touch mark against the Saints in the last month. Whitfield has been a little more consistent than Ash lately so we’ll stick with the veteran.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.