AFL Tips – GWS Giants v North Melbourne – Round 22 2025

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Best Bet

North Melbourne +49.5

Line

$1.90

The Giants’ poor record in Canberra means they have to be opposed here.

The expansion team have won just four of their last twelve at their second home, covering the line in only three of those matches. They’ve played two games at Manuka this season: a 16-point loss to Port as 21-point favourites, and a 32-point loss to the Dogs as 11-point favourites.

They were horrific last week against the Dogs, going down by 88 points. They do get Toby Greene back from suspension, although Jesse Hogan is a massive out, joining Josh Kelly, Jack Buckley and Brent Daniels on the sidelines.

The Roos lose Nick Larkey but get a major boost with Tristan Xerri returning to square off against the struggling Kieran Briggs. The Giants are ranked only 11th for clearance differential over the last five weeks, so the Roos will back themselves to stay competitive at the coalface.

The numbers support North here. They’ve covered in four straight away games against the Giants and in eight of their last ten after a loss. The underdog has also covered in each of the Giants’ last eight day games.

This number just looks a bit too big for the home side.

Same Game Multi

North Melbourne +49.5, J.Stringer 2+ Goals, L.Ash & C.McKercher 25+ Disposals

$5.00

Jake Stringer typically feasts on lower ranked sides. He’s kicked 2+ in six of seven against North.

Lachie Ash has had 25+ in eight of his last ten, while Colby McKercher has had 25+ in 8 of his last 9.

Value Bet

C.Harvey

3+ Goals

TBC

Boomer Jr was used as a pseudo-full forward last time Nick Larkey missed, booting 4.2 against the Dees.

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