AFL Tips – Gold Coast v North Melbourne – Round 12 2022

Another pantsing is on the way for North Melbourne in the top end on Saturday afternoon.

Best Bet

Gold Coast -43.5
Line

The Roos are a historically bad football team and their abysmal record against Gold Coast will only make matters worse here.

North have only cleared the line in 3 of 14 games versus the Suns, by far the worst record of any team against the expansion club. They’ve also never covered against them as outsiders from four games.

Their 2022 form is horrendous, only covering the start in 2 of 11 games, and losing their last seven games by 47+ points.

The likely return of full back Ben McKay will help against the in-form duo of Levi Casbault and Mabior Chol, but that’s the equivalent of putting a band aid over a bullet hole. With Cam Zurhaar also missing, the Roos are very unlikely to reach their average 2022 score of 56.7 points.

The Suns are quickly becoming a very good football team. They pumped Hawthorn by 67 points last weekend at this venue and should put at least that margin on the Roos here.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.


Same Game Multi

Gold Coast -43.5, J.Anderson & D.Swallow 20+ Disposals, B.Ainsworth Anytime Goal

These are a frustrating pair of teams to back for same game multis with both midfields and forward lines terribly inconsistent for disposals and goals respectively. Tread carefully.

Jed Anderson is being used as a pure clearance midfielder by David Noble with his on ball brigade very undersized. He’s had 20+ in his last three games and 28 last week.

David Swallow is playing a bigger midfield role for the Suns and has had 20+ in three of his last four games.

Ben Ainsworth has kicked a goal in seven of his last eight games.


Value Bet

Gold Coast 73+
Full time 12 Point Margins

As mentioned, the Suns beat Hawthorn by 67 points last week at this venue. The Hawks are a vastly better defensive team than North are.

Margins of -78.5 ($5.50) or 100+ ($17.00) are certainly worth a throw.

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.