AFL Tips – Gold Coast v Geelong – Round 22 2022

The Geelong juggernaut is rolling on and they look an outstanding bet against a side they have dominated in recent times.

Best Bet

Geelong -23.5

Geelong are clearly the form side of the competition and should keep their run going against a Gold Coast side which, while vastly improved this season, is vastly inferior.

As we pointed out in their game preview last week, the betting markets have not yet caught up to just how dominant the Cats are.

Not only have Chris Scott’s men won their last eleven games, they have covered the line in their last seven.

Unsurprisingly, the Cats have dominated the Suns in recent times. They have won their last five against the Gold Coast by an average margin of 57 points and covered the line in three of those.

The Cats have been ruthless against Bottom 8 teams this year, winning eight of nine games by an average of almost 50.

While there is a gulf between Gold Coast and, for example, North Melbourne, the Cats have been dismantling even the good sides of late and with the line at less than four goals, this should be a comfortable cover.

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Same Game Multi

Cats -23.5, J. Farrar 15+ DIsposals, B. Ellis 25+ Disposals, G.Rohan & B.Ainsworth 1+ Goal

Jy Farrar is coming off 20 last weeks against the Hawks and is getting some of the kick in duties, which should help his numbers. Brandon Ellis has been a ball winning machine of late. Gary Rohan looks the clear value to bag a snag for the Cats, as does Ben Ainsworth for the Suns.

Value Bet

3+ Goals
Gary Rohan

Gary Rohan has been shuffled down the pecking order at Geelong but he still has multiple snags in three of his last four games. The redhead looks good value for three or more here.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.