AFL Tips – Gold Coast v Collingwood – Round 16 2022

GWS vs Collingwood - Expert AFL Tips

Wet conditions should make for a low scoring match.

Best Bet

Under 143.5
Total Match Points

With torrential rain forecast for the Gold Coast all weekend the number doesn’t look low enough in this one.

Six out of the eight games played at Metricon have gone under the total going back to 2012. Even excluding the shortened 2020 season, games in wet conditions average 126 points.

Metricon is a strong under venue at night in all conditions, with 23 of the Suns 34 games having gone under the total.

The Pies come into this game off the back of some low scoring encounters as well. Five out of the Pies last six games have gone under the number, only their clash against the Giants going over.

The Suns sole wet weather game at Metricon this season went under with a total of 102 points scored.

Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.

Same Game Multi

Under 143.5, T. Miller 30+, N. Anderson 25+

Be careful about taking goal kickers in conditions like these.

Miller had 36 against the Pies in Round 7 and topped the possessions in the wet game against the Dockers. Anderson worked his guts out to get back into the game in the second half after being quiet early against Port. He had 32 against the Pies in Round 7.

Value Bet

Under 108.5
Full Time Alternate Totals

If the rain really comes, scoring becomes near enough to impossible and some of the lower totals are well and truly in play.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.