AFL Tips - Gold Coast Suns v Port Adelaide

Two of the competition’s strongest betting trends collide in Darwin on Friday night when Gold Coast host Port Adelaide.

Best Bet

Port Adelaide +26.5

Line

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$1.90

Two compelling and opposing trends meet here, and we’ll side with Port given the size of the line.

The Suns are usually the automatic bet in Darwin, having won nine straight at their adopted home and covered in eight. But Port love playing Gold Coast, going 14-1 all time and covering in 10 of 15 meetings including four of their last five away. That is a remarkable record that deserves serious weight.

Josh Carr continues to impress in his first year in charge despite losing three of their last four, with those defeats coming by a combined six points. This is a side that is far better than their recent results suggest.

Gold Coast are still not firing on all cylinders. They trailed by four goals at quarter-time last week against St Kilda before running away with the win.

There is some danger Port do not adapt to the sticky Darwin conditions, but their record in this match-up is too strong to ignore at this price. Back them to remain right in it.

Same Game Multi

Port Adelaide +26.5, Z.Butters 30+ Disposals, D.Byrne-Jones 15+ Disposals, M.Georgiades 2+ Goals

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$4.00

Damien Hardwick generally does not tag, which means Zak Butters should bring up his eighth straight 30-disposal game.

Darcy Byrne-Jones has had 15 or more disposals in seven straight games since returning to half-back.

Gold Coast is Mitch Georgiades’ favourite opponent, averaging three goals per game from his five matches against them.

Value Bet

M.Georgiades 4+ Goals

Player Goals

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$3.50

Georgiades has kicked four in two of his last three games and four last time against Gold Coast. Ben King kicked four in Darwin last week, confirming key forwards can hit the scoreboard there. This won’t be a comfortable watch given his accuracy troubles, but is still worth backing.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.