Bailey Smith faces his former side for the first time on Thursday night as the Cats take on the Dogs in Geelong.
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Best Bet
The Dogs are a great bet here as narrow outsiders.
They have only won two of their last 13 games at the Cattery, but those wins came in their last two visits. They are one of just two teams to win multiple games at Kardinia Park in the past seven years. The other is GWS, who got the job done here two weeks ago.
Last year’s win was convincing. The 47-point defeat was the Cats’ largest in Geelong since 2006. While the home side were able to compete with the Bulldogs around the pill, they were smashed in territory, losing inside 50s 61-39, and marks inside 50, 15-4.
Granted, the Dogs won’t have Darcy and Ugle-Hagan in this match-up, but even without them they have remained the third-best marks inside 50 team over the last five weeks, with Bontempelli, Harmes, West and Khamis filling the void admirably.
The loss of Patrick Dangerfield is enormous, not only because of his scoring ability but also as a pinch-hitter in the guts if the Dogs’ elite mids get on top. Jack Bowes is also set to miss but Rhys Stanley and Tom Stewart, who has had a hugely interrupted season, are available to return.
We backed GWS here two weeks ago based on their record at this venue. The in-form Dogs shape as just as good a bet.
Same Game Multi
Rhylee West continues to hit the scoreboard, booting 14 in his last five games, while Khamis has kicked six in his lsat three games.
Ollie Dempsey has kicked two goals in six straight games.
Value Bet
The Bulldogs are belting teams at present with each of their last four wins coming by an average of 71 points. Geelong are undoubtedly a tough test, but in their present form, the Dogs are capable of matching last year’s big win down the highway.
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