AFL Tips – Geelong v Gold Coast – Round 13 2025

It’s fourth against fifth on Saturday when the Suns head down the highway to take on the Cats at GMHBA Stadium.

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Best Bet

Geelong -17.5

Line

$1.90

With wet weather expected, the Cats are the play here.

The Suns turned in a flat performance at home against Fremantle last week in the wet, continuing a pattern of poor showings in those conditions. Since 2010, they have covered the line in just eight of 26 wet-weather games and none of their last seven, the worst record of any side.

Geelong are the AFL’s most reliable wet-weather team, covering in 16 of 27, and they look to be building momentum as the second half of the season nears.

Chris Scott’s side pulled away late against the Eagles last week to notch a 43-point win in Perth. That was their third straight victory and their fourth consecutive game scoring 100 points or more, making them the highest scoring team in the league over the past month.

The Suns haven’t played the Cats in Geelong since 2021, so a lack of familiarity with the narrow ground won’t instil confidence. Neither will their record at the venue, which sits at 0-7 with an average losing margin of 53 points.

With Patrick Dangerfield returning for the home side, back them to clear the three-goal line.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -17.5, J.Cameron 3+ Goals, T.Stengle 2+ Goals

TBC

As below, Jeremy Cameron is in ridiculous form at present, while Tyson Stengle has kicked 2+ in five straight at GMHBA.

Value Bet

J.Cameron

4+ Goals

$3.50

Keen to ride the Jezza heater. He has kicked more goals against the Suns than any other team, booting 4+ in 8 of 12 games against them (excluding 2020). He’s also kicked 4+ in 4 of his last 6 at GMHBA and 18 in his last three games.

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