AFL Tips - Geelong v Essendon

The Cats face the Bombers on Friday night in Geelong in the single worst piece of fixturing in Australian football history.

Best Bet

Geelong -67.5

Line

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$1.90

This is only the third 70-point plus line this decade. It’s still not big enough.

There’s no relief on the injury front for Essendon this week, who have failed to cover the line in six of their last seven games. While they were competitive last week against the Swans, torrential rain did help contain the damage, especially early.

Their average losing margin in the previous six weeks was 44 points, including a 93-point loss to the Dogs and a 95-point loss last time they faced the Cats.

Not team has dominated a single opponent lately more than Geelong have dominated Essendon. Since 2019, the Cats have won and covered in eight straight against the Dons, winning by an average of 58 points. The average margin in the last three has been 73 points.

This will be an annihilation.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -70.5, S.Neale & T.Stengle 2+ Goals, M.Holmes 30+ Disposals

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$4.33

There’s no value left in Jeremy Cameron’s odds so look elsewhere for goal kickers.

Shannon Neale has kicked 3+ in four of his last five, while Tyson Stengle has kicked two in each of his last three.

Max Holmes had 36 last time these teams met and 29+ in each of his last three.

Value Bet

Calsher Dear

4+ Goals

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$3.75

Neale kicked four last time against the Dons and two of his last four games. While the Cats are trying to feed Jezza to get him to 100, there will be plenty of goals to go around this week.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.