AFL Tips – Geelong v Brisbane Lions – Preliminary Final 2022

The Geelong juggernaut is the one sure thing this season and they will make short work of a Lions side lucky to be there on Friday night at the MCG.

Best Bet

Geelong -22.5

Geelong have dominated the 2022 season and after a Qualifying Final scare from the Magpies, they will rightfully secure their place in this year’s Grand Final.

It is hard to overstate how good the Cats have been in the second half of this year. They have won their last ten. They have covered in eleven of the last fourteen. Their average winning margin is over six goals.

Yes, the Cats faced a scare in the first week of the finals but the fact they were able to overcome a Collingwood side playing with their hair on fire is testament to how good Chris Scott’s side are.

Brisbane are a poor defensive team and while they were able to contain Melbourne in the second half last week, that speaks more to how poorly the Dees forward line has functioned this year.

Geelong also boast a dominant record over Brisbane. They have won 13 of the last 16 and covered in twelve of them. This includes the 2020 Preliminary Final where the Lions entered as favourites and were belted by 40 points.

There have been plenty of blowouts in Preliminary Finals in recent years and with the better team having had the benefit of a week’s rest, this has all the hallmarks of one.

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Same Game Multi

Geelong 40+, J. Cameron, T. Hawkins 3+ Goals

Keen to take the Cats by 40 or more to anchor this bet and create some real value.

Jeremy Cameron has been unstoppable this season and the Lions don’t have anyone capable of going with him, while the big Hawk bagged five earlier this season against the Lions.

Value Bet

61+ points

Keen to play the Cats with some of the bigger margins here and the 61+ at $7.00 is highly tempting.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.