AFL Tips – Fremantle v Richmond – Round 17 2024

Dockers vs Tigers - AFL Tips

The Tigers are the biggest outsiders of the round when they travel to Perth to play the Dockers on Saturday night.

Best Bet

Under 165.5
Total Match Points

There is only one way to bet this game and that’s the under, which looks the best bet of the round.

The number of trends pointing towards this bet is remarkable and with the number set at 165.5, the market doesn’t seem awake to it.

Nine of fifteen Dockers games have gone under this season including five of seven at Perth Stadium. The same number, nine of fifteen Tigers games have gone under including four of six away from the MCG.

This Richmond side is historically bad, offensively. They have failed to score fifty in five of their last eight. They have not topped eighty since Round 4.

Freo have been better offensively of late, but it’s a big ask for them to do all the heavy lifting to get over the total.

Chips in the under.

Insights

🛡️ Richmond Conceded More Than 110 Points: In the last 4 games after conceding more than 110 points, Richmond has achieved 4 total unders, indicating a rebound in defensive performance.

🏠 Fremantle Against Bottom 4 Teams: In the last 9 games against bottom 4 teams, Fremantle has achieved 8 total unders, highlighting strong defensive play against lower-ranked teams.

💼 Richmond vs Fremantle: In the last 9 games between Richmond and Fremantle, 7 total unders have been achieved.


Same Game Multi

Under 165.5, Brayshaw, Serong 30+, Ryan 25+ Disposals

No team allows more disposals than the Tigers and the Dockers have super reliable ball winners in the middle and defensively, namely Caleb Serong, Andrew Brayshaw and Luke Ryan.


Value Bet

Caleb Serong
40+ Disposals

The Tigers allowed 40 to Patrick Cripps last week and have given away big totals to opposing stars all season. Serong had 38 when these sides met earlier this season.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2024 AFL season.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.