Fremantle have an outstanding record against the Dees, which they will be looking to maintain on Sunday afternoon at Optus Stadium.
Best Bet
The Dees have a phenomenal record as outsiders and look an excellent bet once again with the points on Sunday.
Since the beginning of 2021 the Dees have been outsiders on 17 occasions. They have outright won 12 of those games. For whatever reason, negative expectations have a positive influence on this side.
While the Dees are without Christian Petracca and Max Gawn, the emergence of Trent Rivers as an A grade mid and the return of Jake Melksham to the forward line has reinvigorated the side.
Jacob Van Rooyen did an admirable job in the ruck last week against Sam Draper, but admittedly he will have his work cut out against Luke Jackson and Sean Darcy.
The Dockers did dismantle the Dees when they met in Round 13, but the visitors form since suggests that was an aberration. In what are likely to be slippery conditions with some rain around, the Dees can keep this close.
Insights
🔒 Fremantle vs Melbourne: This match-up tends to be low-scoring, with 8 out of the last 9 games going under the total points.
📉 Fremantle Off a Loss: Fremantle bounces back well from losses, winning 5 out of their last 7 games and covering the spread in 6 of those games.
🔥 Fremantle Favourites: As favourites, Fremantle has won 3 out of their last 6 games and covered the spread in 2 out of the last 3 games.
Same Game Multi
Trent Rivers has had 29 in his last two games as a fulltime midfielder. Luke Ryan typically accumulates big numbers at home and had 28 when these sides met in Round 13.
Value Bet
Melbourne’s record as outsiders is remarkable and they are playing much better since the bye. Happy to play them here at a nice price.
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