Expecting a low scoring clash when the 2013 Grand Finalists meet.
Fremantle are the strongest under team in the league and with some rain around, going under the number looks a strong play against the Hawks.
Dockers games have gone under nine of twelve times this season and while they are playing a strong offensive side in Hawthorn, the prospect of rain in Perth on Saturday means that normal service should resume after what was a highly atypical scorefest in the second half last week against Brisbane.
Hawthorn will struggle to post a score against Freo. Justin Longmuir’s side have squeezed the life out of teams outside the top eight this season, conceding, on average, 55.8 points per game.
Where Freo has really stepped it up of late has been in clearances. While they have been strong defensively all season, they outscored the Lions by 33 points from clearances last week, their best differential for the year.
The reservation around being on Freo at the line is twofold. They could be in for a flat one off the back of two big wins, and the weather. Given this, the under looks the best bet.
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The under looks a strong play and while Freo may not cover what is a large line, they can certainly go in here on a head to head basis.
Expecting Nat Fyfe to see plenty of forward minutes upon his return, while Brayshaw is un supreme form at present and has won 30 or more disposals in two of his last three games against the Hawks.
Five of the Dockers twelve games this season have resulted in less than 139 points. Especially with the prospect of some rain around, this looks a tremendous bet.