It’s win or go home for both Fremantle and Gold Coast on Saturday night at Optus Stadium.
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The numbers are stacked against the Suns heading into their first AFL final.
Gold Coast have failed to cover the line in 16 of their last 17 matches as an away underdog, 13 of 16 away after a home win, and seven of nine away after a bye.
They have also struggled against quality opposition this season, covering in just three of 11 games against top eight teams, while Fremantle have covered in six of ten.
The Dockers enter their first finals series in three years full of confidence after a comfortable win over the Bulldogs in what was effectively an elimination final. They have lost just two games since Round 9, one to Brisbane and one to Sydney at the SCG.
Fremantle also have a strong record against the Suns, winning 10 of 15 overall and covering in four of the last five overall and four of the last five at home.
The only clash between these teams this year ended in an 11-point Dockers win on the Gold Coast in heavy conditions, and similar weather could play a role on Saturday with rain forecast in Perth.
There is also a huge gap in finals experience, with 22 Dockers having played in September compared to just three for the Suns.
Back Fremantle to bring Gold Coast’s first finals campaign to an early end.
Same Game Multi
With Corey Wagner out, expect these midfields to run head-to-head without any taggers.
Caleb Serong has had 25+ in four straight against Gold Coast while Noah Anderson has done the same in 15 of 18 interstate.
As below, Pat Voss continues to be good value to hit the scoreboard.
Value Bet
Big Pat Voss continues to deliver for the Dockers, booting 3+ goals in five of his last six matches, plus his most recent meeting with the Suns.
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