AFL Tips – Essendon v Western Bulldogs – Round 20 2025

| AFL Tips

Another brilliant piece of scheduling from the AFL sees the Bulldogs face the Bulldogs in prime time on Friday night. This is going to be a massacre.

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Best Bet

Bulldogs -52.5
Line

This line just isn’t big enough.

These teams met only ten weeks ago in what may have been the most one-sided match of the season. The Bulldogs ran out 91-point winners after leading 68–9 at half time, and that was without Sam Darcy.

Luke Beveridge’s team are the AFL’s biggest downhill skiers in 2025. They’re 8–0 against bottom eight sides with a percentage of 194 and just 1–8 against the top eight. They’ve covered the line in six of eight games against the bottom ten, winning by an average of 71 points.

Essendon will get some relief this week with Nate Caddy, Todd Goldstein and Ben Hobbs likely to return. But from the team that was embarrassed by the Dogs in Round 10, they’ll be missing Nic Martin, Ben McKay, Zach Reid, Sam Draper, Kyle Langford, Will Setterfield and Jye Caldwell. Ouch.

The Bombers have failed to cover in each of their last five games. They are going to get destroyed on Friday night.


Same Game Multi

Bulldogs -52.5, A.Naughton 3+ Goals, R.West 2+ goals, T.Liberatore 25+ Disposals

Naughton has kicked one more goal than Darcy in the last five weeks but is still attracting far better odds than his teammate. Rhylee West kicked four against the Dons in Round 10.

Libba had 33 last time against the Dons.


Value Bet

Western Bulldogs 73+
Margin

Find the largest line you can and back it.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.