Deep in the battle for a wildcard position, St Kilda head to Marvel Stadium on Sunday looking to continue Essendon’s miserable season.
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Best Bet
Not high confidence but the numbers point one way.
Nothing has changed at Essendon despite the coaching change from Brad Scott to Dean Solomon. The Bombers have failed to cover in four of their last five and have been no better against weaker teams, failing to cover in five of seven against bottom-eight sides with an average losing margin of 34 points in those games.
The Saints have been punishing bad teams more recently, winning each of their last three games against bottom six teams by 30+ points, including a 101-point win over West Coast at this venue.
St Kilda copped some injuries last week, losing Sinclair and De Koning, but have enough depth to cover.
Take the Saints to keep the pressure on Essendon’s woeful season.
Same Game Multi
This should be a high-disposal game, particularly for defenders and outside midfielders.
Zach Merrett fell short of 25 last week but North are a poor match-up for half-backs and Essendon should be far more accommodating. Darcy Wilson has hit 20 or more in four straight games.
Jack Higgins has been quiet since returning from injury but has feasted against Essendon recently.
Value Bet
Higgins loves playing the Bombers, kicking at least two in each of his last seven games against them and three or more in three of his last four. He was in outstanding goal-kicking form before his injury and a big game against his favourite opponent looks overdue.
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