AFL Tips - Essendon v North Melbourne

Two of the biggest rivals of the 90s meet on Thursday night footy at Marvel with Essendon taking on North Melbourne.

Best Bet

Over 183.5 Points

Total Points

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$1.90

These are two very inconsistent teams but on thing that remains consistent is North playing in shootouts.

Seven of the Roos’ last eight games have gone over, with their average total in their 2025 games sitting at an enormous 202. Alastair Clarkson’s team have made some good strides offensively, but they are still horrific defensively, giving up 114 points on average this season – ranked 17th.

The Dons were a bottom four team for defence last year, and have improved that ranking slightly this year, jumping up to 13th for points conceded, but they are still giving up 91 a game in 2025.

Marvel has again been a high-scoring venue in 2025, with nine of twelve games at the venue clearing the total, with North’s four games averaging 199 points.

Expect plenty of points in this one.

Same Game Multi

North Melbourne +16.5, Over 183.5 Points, K.Langford 2+ Goals

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TBC

The Roos look a good bet with a near three goal start with Essendon failing to cover the line in ten straight games as favourites.

Kyle Langford is averaging 2.4 goals per game in his last five against North, kicking 2+ in four of his last five against them.

Value Bet

Zane Duursma

3+ Goals

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$12

With Paul Curtis missing, expect Zane Duursma to get a full game in the Roos’ forward line after being sub for two of his last three games. He kicked 2.1 in his full game against the Suns.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.