AFL Tips – Essendon v Geelong – Round 14 2025

The undermanned Bombers face a tough test in Geelong at the MCG on Saturday afternoon.

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Best Bet

Geelong -28.5

Line

$1.90

This may be the most one-sided rivalry in the AFL.

No team enjoys beating up another more than Geelong enjoy beating up Essendon. The Cats have covered in seven straight against the Dons. The average winning margin has been 51 points.

Essendon’s long list of absentees only got worse this week with important inside mid Sam Durham suspended. He joins Draper, McKay, Redman, Reid, Ridley and Langford as best eighteen Bombers unavailable this weekend.

Brad Scott’s team have been brave over the last fortnight, but Carlton remain a flaky opposition and Brisbane have not been punishing poor opposition. This is a big step up in class.

The Cats have covered in five of their last six as 24+ point favourites and will win this by plenty.

Same Game Multi

Geelong -28.5, T.Stengle 2+ Goals, O.Dempsey & S.Neale Anytime Goal

TBC

Tyson Stengle has kicked 10 in his last three against Essendon. Ollie Dempsey has kicked a goal in 9 of his last 10.

Assuming he plays, Essendon simply have no one who can match Shannon Neale for size.

Value Bet

Geelong 73+

Margin

$6.50

Given their head-to-head record, big margins are absolutely worth a play here.

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