The traditional ANZAC Day clash returns to a packed MCG on Saturday, with Essendon looking to upset a Collingwood side that has been far from convincing in 2026.
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Best Bet
The underdog continues to be the play when Collingwood host at the MCG.
The roughie has covered in nine straight matches featuring the Pies at the MCG. Collingwood scraped home last week against Carlton thanks to another Nick Daicos masterclass. And while their defence is genuinely elite, ranked first in the competition at just 66 points conceded per game, that only keeps you in games rather than winning them by big margins.
The Bombers are a much better side over the last fortnight. They beat Melbourne at Gather Round and ran Gold Coast to 19 points, winning the clearance battle in both games. They now face Collingwood, who rank fourth worst for clearance differential. Another strong effort around the pill should keep the Dons more than competitive here.
Aside from one blowout last year, the last five Anzac Day games have been decided by fewer than four goals. Expect this to be close again.
Same Game Multi
Collingwood concede big numbers to half-backs and Archie Roberts is averaging 30.5 touches this season. He will fill up here.
Young Jacob Farrow has had 20 or more in two of his last three and will also benefit from the match-up.
Brayden Maynard has had 15 or more disposals in 13 straight games.
Value Bet
Roberts has had 37, 42 and 33 in his last three weeks and now faces the competition’s worst team for conceding disposals to half-backs. It is a match-up made in heaven and this is a magnificent bet at this price.
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