Another GWS shootout is on the cards on Sunday at the MCG.
Best Bet
This total looks far too low.
Three of the Giants’ last four games have gone over 200 points, including a 230-point game – the highest of any game this year – against the Bulldogs last week. The only game that didn’t clear 200 was against North Melbourne, who as we know score goals like an ice hockey team on a good day.
Despite Collingwood’s last five games all going under, they demonstrated earlier in the season they can be lured into a shootout. Four Collingwood games have gone over 187 points in 2022 and two over 199. The Pies are only ranked 12th for defence.
Head-to-head these games have leaned over with 6 of the last 11 clearing the total including both played during daytime.
With the Giants playing full throttle footy, the Pies will get plenty of opportunity on turnover to score and see us well over this moderate total.
Who will take home the AFL’s top individual award? Check out our weekly AFL Brownlow Predictor for this week’s leaderboard and our tips.
Same Game Multi
Stephen Coniglio has had 25+ touches in four straight games and 30+ in three of those. He’s also kicked a goal in four straight games.
Jake Riccardi is being used forward by McVeigh with Himmelberg going back. He’s kicked a goal in five straight games. Jamie Elliot returned from injury last week and bagged three.
Value Bet
Very keen to play some bigger totals in this one given the Giants’ proclivity for shootout footy.
The 195cm Riccardi has kicked two and three goals in the last two weeks and should get a favourable match-up against an undersized Collingwood defence with Darcy Moore likely to take Jesse Hogan. He’s great value for a few here.
