A packed MCG on Saturday night for a blockbuster between old rivals with genuine wildcard implications, and the under looks the play in a match between two of the lowest-scoring teams in 2026.
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Best Bet
A very tough betting game but the under is probably the play.
These two teams have played in the second and third lowest-scoring games in 2026, with Collingwood games averaging 166.5 points and Carlton 167.5. Carlton games in particular have turned ultra low-scoring under Josh Fraser, with seven of nine falling short of the total at an average of 156.5 points. The two games that went over cleared the line by just 4.5 and 5.5 points.
Collingwood have been playing more open, attacking football of late, scoring 89 or more in three straight, but that has coincided with a soft run of games with their last four wins all coming against bottom-six teams.
With six straight Carlton night matches going under the total, take the under here.
Same Game Multi
Carlton remain without Jacob Weitering which leaves them a touch vulnerable against key forwards. Tim Membrey has kicked two or more goals in four straight games.
The half-back against Collingwood angle has been one of the best plays in the competition all year and Nic Newman has had 25 or more disposals in three of his last four against the Pies, with 24 in the other.
Value Bet
Young Pies midfielder Angus Anderson has already shown an ability to hit the scoreboard, going 2.0, 1.0, 2.0 and 0.2 in his last four games. Another double looks a big price for a player with a building record of finding the goals.
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