AFL Tips – Carlton v North Melbourne – Round 15 2025

Carlton are in chasing a third-straight win to keep their faint finals chances alive when they face North at the MCG on Saturday afternoon.

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Best Bet

North Melbourne +24.5

Line

$1.90

North look a strong bet with this start, especially if Charlie Curnow is ruled out.

The Kangaroos are finally showing signs of progress under Alastair Clarkson, winning two of their last seven (plus a draw) and covering the line in five. Their three losses against bottom ten teams have all been by fewer than ten points.

North’s record against Carlton is poor, having lost their last five by an average of 33 points, but this is not the same Blues side from recent years. Michael Voss has placed a clear focus on defence in 2025, and it has come at the cost of scoring power. The Blues have kicked 100 points only twice this season, back in Rounds 5 and 6.

Their struggling offence will be further weakened this week, with Harry McKay already ruled out and Charlie Curnow unlikely to play due to a calf issue, especially on a six-day break after returning from Perth. North are set to regain their best key defender in Charlie Comben.

The numbers all support the visitors here. They have covered in five straight with a rest advantage, four straight as an away underdog and four straight following a loss.

The Roos delivered their worst performance of the year in Round 6 against Carlton, losing by 82 points, but this is a golden chance to show how far they have come since then. It’s an opportunity they should take.

Same Game Multi

North Melbourne +24.5, C.McKercher 25+ Disposals, P.Curtis 2+ Goals, Z.Williams Anytime Goal

TBC

Colby McKercher has returned to half-back over the last fortnight and had 35 and 27 touches.

Paul Curtis has kicked nine goals in his last three against Carlton, while Zac Williams kicked four against North earlier in the year.

Value Bet

North Melbourne

Heead-to-Head

$4.00

This Carlton team should hold no fears for North. While the Blues’ strong midfield is largely in tact, save for Sam Walsh, the Roos’ mids have really clicked lately, ranked #1 for clearance differential over the last five weeks (+13) with an enormous gap back to the Lions in second on +6.2. They look big overs for a win.

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