The stakes couldn’t be higher for both Carlton and Hawthorn ahead of their clash at the MCG on Sunday afternoon.
Best Bet
Carlton have no right to favouritism in this match-up.
The Blues have fallen off a cliff in the last five weeks to suddenly be in danger of missing the eight. Their sole win throughout this period a victory over 17th-placed North Melbourne and they’ve failed to cover the line in each of these five games.
They continue to leak far too much to be a genuine flag contender, particularly from stoppage, where they are ranked dead last for points conceded over the last five weeks.
The Hawks are seventh for scores from stoppage over the last five weeks and have a host of clever small forwards like Moore, Ginnivan, Watson and Macdonald who could run riot here.
They gave up a 28-point lead against the Giants last week but their first three quarters showcased the exceptional form Sam Mitchell’s team has displayed in the second half of the season. They have now covered the line in a ridiculous 12 of their last 13 games, winning 10, including their last five in Melbourne.
Hawthorn have been the far better team in the second half of the year and should pick up this win to take a big step towards a September berth.
Same Game Multi
Harry McKay has 2+ goals in four of his last five against Hawthorn. Connor Macdonald has seven goals in his last three.
Dylan Moore has had 25+ in three straight at the MCG.
Value Bet
The Blues lack leg speed in their back six so expect the Hawks mosquito fleet to have some fun here. The Wizard kicked his first haul of three at the MCG three weeks ago and is a big price to repeat the effort.
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