The injury-plagued Blues host a quickly-improving Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Best Bet
This looks a big start for the Suns given Carlton’s injury woes and propensity for close finishes.
The Blues’ injury crisis has seen them fall to 10th on the ladder with just two wins from their last six games. They are still missing a stack of best 23 players, including Cerra, Cottrell, Cunningham, Docherty, Fogarty, Martin, Motlop and Pittonet.
In better news for Michael Voss, Jacob Weitering is set to play after overcoming a corked calf while Adam Saad will also return.
The nickname ‘Cardiac Carlton’ could not be more appropriate in recent times, with 12 of their last 16 games being decided by under this line of 16.5 and four of their six wins this year coming by ten points or fewer.
They are simply not playing well enough to beat any team not named Richmond or North Melbourne by more than this number.
With the Suns fresh off a nine-day break from their massive victory in Darwin over Geelong, they can run this one very close.
Insights
🛣️ Gold Coast Suns’ Away Game Challenges: The Gold Coast Suns have struggled significantly on the road, failing to secure any wins in their last 7 away games and achieving covers in only 3 of their last 15.
🔻 Continued Struggles in Upper Echelons: The challenges persist against top 8 teams as well, with the Suns only managing to cover the spread twice in their last 9 encounters
Same Game Multi
The over looks a terrific bet too with seven of Carlton’s last eight at Marvel going over and the Suns coming off a 264-point goal-fest in Darwin.
Matt Owies has seven goals in his last three games while Jed Walter has kicked eight in his last five.
Value Bet
The Suns have been inconsistent through the first ten rounds but will take enormous confidence from their 64-point win over the Cats in Darwin last week and could be ready to make a charge in the second half of the year with a very kind draw to come.
With the Blues missing plenty of first choice players, the visitors are a big chance for the upset, albeit by a narrow margin.
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