AFL Tips - Carlton v Gold Coast

The rampaging Suns will be looking for another big win when they face Carlton at Marvel Stadium on Saturday night.

Best Bet

Under 172.5 Points

Line

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$1.90

This is an awful betting game, with both teams struggling at Marvel lately. The Blues have covered the line in just 4 of their last 12 there, while the Suns have covered in 7 of 17.

When all else fails in Carlton games, take the under.

Michael Voss has prioritised defence this year, resulting in 15 of their 19 games going under the total, including eight of ten at home and 9 of 11 when underdogs.

As bad as the Blues’ season has been, their defence has been a positive, ranked a relatively good ninth for for points conceded. That has come at the expense of their offence, which is ranked 13th, only recording 73 points per game on average, dropping to 61 against the top eight.

The Suns are going to have to do the lion’s share of the scoring here for this total to get anywhere near 172. They have struggled against the Blues recently, losing the last three, and at Marvel, only averaging 80 points per game under Damien Hardwick in seven games at the venue.

In a tough betting game, the under looks the best bet.

Same Game Multi

Under 172.5 Points, M.Rowell & J.Noble 25+ Disposals, B.Humphrey Anytime Goal

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$4.00

Ollie Lord went to Caleb Serong last week so expect him to go to Anderson this week.

John Noble has had 29+ in four of his last five and Matt Rowell is averaging 31.5 touches in his last four.

Bailey Humphrey has kicked 2+ in four straight when the Suns are favoured.

Value Bet

B.Humphrey

3+ Goals

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$4.50

Not a whole lot of value in this one but Bailey Humphrey has kicked three in each of his last two games.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.