AFL Tips – Carlton v Geelong – Round 7 2025

Carlton vs Geelong - AFL Tips

Carlton will be looking for a third straight win when they meet Geelong at the MCG on Sunday afternoon.

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Best Bet

Geelong -9.5
Line

The Blues are coming off two easy kills against the Roos and Eagles, but things get significantly tougher this week.

Michael Voss’s side have struggled badly against strong opposition, losing and failing to cover the line in their last eight games against top-eight teams.

This will be a major step up in opposition, with Geelong hitting form over the past three weeks, covering the line in each game. The Cats also boast a strong record at the MCG, covering in their last six day games at the venue.

Carlton regain Harry McKay, but he has had a heavily interrupted start to the season, so it remains to be seen how Carlton’s forward line clicks as they only averaged 62.5 points per game when not playing a bottom four team.

With the Blues also failing to cover in their last five games at the MCG, back Geelong for a comfortable victory.


Same Game Multi

Geelong -9.5, P.Dangerfield & C.Curnow 2+ Goals, B.Smith 25+ Disposals

Danger looks a nightmare match-up for Carlton’s backline. He’s averaging three goals per game over the last month.

Charlie Curnow is averaging four goals a game in his last four against Geelong.

Bailey Smith is averaging 30 touches per game over his last five.


Value Bet

Carlton/Geelong
HT/FT Double

Carlton have won the first half in each of their six games this year but have only won twice. The Cats are 4-2 in second halves this year with a percentage of 129.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.