The Blues will hold no fears for the Cats.
Best Bet
Geelong have put together a dominant seven weeks of football and are entitled to be clear favourites against Carlton at the MCG.
While a narrative has developed that the Cats are vulnerable at the home of football, they have won seven of their last eight games there. Their record against the number is a little less impressive, but they have still covered 50% of the time since the start of last year.
Carlton’s strength is their clearance game so for Geelong to perform so well in this area against the clearance kings, Melbourne, last week was a positive sign leading into this game.
The Cats won the clearance count by 18 against the Dees, and while a repeat of that is unlikely, if they can break even in this area it will go a long way towards recording a win.
Geelong also boast a dominant head to head record against Carlton. They have won 11 of the last 13 against the Blues, and while the record against the number is less impressive, this is the smallest line that has been put up in more than a decade.
Back the Cats to maintain their outstanding form.
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Same Game Multi
Both sides boast two dominant key forwards but they are well found in bookmakers markets.
Tom Atkins has been playing a (near) full time mid role and is the leading clearance player at the Cats since Round 11. Mitch Duncan has been spending less time in the middle but it has only boosted his stats, having gone over 25 in four of his last five games. With Tom Stewart out he has been taking some kick ins as well.
Value Bet
Jezza had a quiet one last week against the Dees but he was flying prior to that. Tom Hawkins will likely get the Weitering match up and he has a good record against the big Cat – Hawkins having kicked only 11 in his last five games against Carlton, and being held goalless twice. Cameron should get Lewis Young, who is improving, but still a favourable match up.
