The AFL’s most enduring rivalry adds a new chapter on Friday night when the battling Blues take on the top of the table Magpies.
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Best Bet
Backing Carlton to fade out has been a very profitable strategy all season, and it looks especially good here.
Remarkably given their ladder position, the Blues are the AFL’s second-best first half team, going 11-4 with a percentage of 118 prior to half time.
Unsurprisingly, they are the league’s third-worst second half team, with a 4-11 record and a percentage of 85.
No team closes out games better than the Pies, who are 12-3 in second halves with a percentage of 163. They’ve won each of their last five second halves by an average of 30 points.
After a pathetic performance last week against Port Adelaide, expect the Blues to come out firing. But based on their record, the fire will be out after half time and the Pies should run away big winners.
Same Game Multi
Josh Daicos has been racking them up lately, clearing 30 in four of his last five games. He should have another big game against a team that lacks run.
Scott Pendlebury has had 20+ in 11 straight games.
Blake Acres enjoys the wide expanses of the MCG too. He’s had 15+ in 19 of his last 20 there.
Value Bet
No surprise here. The Blues have led at half time in 11 games this year but only won six and the Pies are the best second half team in the comp. Great value.
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