AFL Tips – Carlton v Adelaide – Round 5 2024

Carlton vs Adelaide - AFL Tips

Adelaide has been awful to start the season and they look up against it when they took on the unbeaten Blues under the roof on Saturday afternoon.

Best Bet

Adelaide +23.5
Line

The Blues are unbeaten for the first time in almost 30 years, but let’s not anoint the Blues as the second coming of the 1995 premiership side just yet.

After four rounds they have one score wins over Brisbane and Freo, a victory over Freo gifted to them by the umpires, and a win over North.

It’s better to be 4-0 than have the 0-4 record that their rivals in this game possess, but if ever a team has been flattered by its win loss record, it’s these Blues.

Adelaide have been disappointing so far in 2024 but their loss against Freo was the only really poor performance among them. Expected score only had them going down by two points against the Dees last week.

The Crows record against Carlton isn’t bad either, having won two of the last four and covering in three of them.

While their interstate win loss record isn’t great, they have covered in 11 of their last 19.

Give the Crows – with the big start – one more chance here.


Same Game Multi

Crows +23.5, Crouch 30+ Disposals, Smith 20+ Disposals, Fogarty 1+ Goal

He doesn’t hurt you with it, but Matt Crouch is an absolute freak when it comes to winning disposals. He had 30 last week in only 67% game time.

Brodie Smith has topped 20 in three of four games this year and Darcy Fogarty is coming off an excellent performance against Melbourne where he bagged two.


Value Bets

Adelaide
Win

A kick or two either way and the narrative around these teams could be entirely different. The Crows are a nice price to cause the upset here.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2024 AFL season.

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Tim is a wagering industry veteran, having spent more than a decade at Sportsbet, BetEasy, TAB and William Hill working in trading and content.