AFL Tips – Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs – Round 19 2025

A high stakes Friday night clash sees the ninth-placed Bulldogs head north to take on the second-placed Lions at the Gabba.

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Best Bet

Over 90.5 Points
Brisbane Total Points
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$1.90

After eight games against top eight teams in 2025, the evidence is clear: the Bulldogs cannot defend quality opposition.

The Dogs have conceded 102 points per game against top eight sides this season, a goal more than any other top nine contender and the seventh worst defensive record in the league.

While they’ve looked dangerous going forward, their poor defence has resulted in just one win from eight games against the top eight, with only two covers of the line.

The Lions have scored 90 or more in each of their last four games overall and in each of their last three at the Gabba. They’ve also put up 118 and 114 points in their last two outings against the Bulldogs.

There is some rain forecast, but it’s expected to clear by game time so scoring shouldn’t be impacted.

With a stacked midfield and multiple scoring options up forward, Brisbane look a strong bet to crack 90 against a vulnerable Dogs defence.


Same Game Multi

Lions Over 90.5 Points, L.Morris 2+ Goals, C.Rayner Anytime Goal, L.Neale 25+ Disposals, B.Dale 20+ Disposals
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$5.50

As below, tall forwards have been dominating the Dogs recently, so Logan Morris should hit the scoreboard. Cam Rayner has kicked a goal in five straight against this opponent.

Neither of these sides tag so the midfielders should rack them up. Lachie Neale has had 25+ in 14 of 15 games against the Dogs, while Bailey Dale has had 20+ in six straight against the Lions.


Value Bet

Logan Morris
4+ Goals
Bet Now
$5.25

The talls have been smashing the Bulldogs’ defenders lately. Thilthorpe, Fogarty and Tex combined for 11 goals last week, while Nick Larkey booted five in the first quarter the week prior, before a knee injury hampered the rest of his match.

Logan Morris booted four last time he played the Dogs and has two bags of five in his last four games.

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2025 AFL season.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.