Adelaide head to the Gabba on Sunday looking to upset a Brisbane side that has been far from convincing so far this season.
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Best Bet
Brisbane are only just going this season and continue to be a poor bet at home.
The reigning premiers are only 17-9 at the Gabba since the start of 2024, covering in just nine of 26. Sitting at 3-3 after losses to Melbourne and a competitive match with North during Gather Round, the Lions continue to just tick along during the home and away season.
Adelaide have been better than their 3-3 record suggests. Their three losses have come against a full-strength Bulldogs, Fremantle and Geelong by a combined 14 points. Jordan Dawson also returns from personal leave, a significant boost for a Crows side that lacks A-graders through the middle. They do lose Alex Neal-Bullen to injury, however.
These teams love a tight contest, with the last five meetings decided by just 5, 11, 0, 6 and 17 points.
With the home side losing some important players in Jarrod Berry and Noah Answerth, expect the Crows to at least stay within the 21-point line.
Same Game Multi
Kai Lohmann has kicked two or more goals in five straight home games while Josh Rachele has kicked a goal in seven straight.
Wayne Milera is racking them up across half back with 25 or more disposals in three straight games.
Value Bet
These two teams have a history of close matches and Brisbane are not travelling as well as expected. Their average winning margin at home against top 10 teams since the start of 2024 is only 14 points so a narrow home win looks the most likely outcome.
Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best AFL tips, predictions, same-game multis, and more, for each game of the 2026 AFL season.
