Two 2-3 sides meet at Adelaide Oval on Saturday night but the head-to-head record makes this a much clearer betting proposition than the ladder suggests.
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Best Bet
Few teams enjoy a match-up as much as Adelaide enjoy playing St Kilda.
The Crows have won 14 of the last 16 against the Saints and covered the line in 13, with an average winning margin of 52 points. That is a record that demands respect regardless of current form.
Adelaide are without Jordan Dawson, Mitch Hinge and Jake Soligo which hurts, but they regain Jordan Butts and Luke Pedlar. Their 2-3 record is somewhat misleading too, as their three losses have come against three very good teams in Fremantle, Geelong and the Western Bulldogs by a combined 14 points. With an even injury run, the Crows are certainly still a team that will cause some damage in 2026.
St Kilda have spent big but look a pretty similar outfit to last year. They come off a decent win over Port Adelaide but that result is hard to weigh against Adelaide’s dominance in this specific match-up. Back the Crows to cover.
Same Game Multi
Sam Berry has had 20 or more disposals in four straight games and will take on extra midfield responsibility with Dawson and Soligo both out. Wayne Milera has had 19 or more in every game this season and half-backs consistently fill up against St Kilda.
Callum Wilkie is averaging 25.6 disposals per game this year and is another reliable accumulator on the other side of the ledger.
Value Bet
St Kilda concede big disposal tallies to half-backs and Milera has already hit 30 once this year against Collingwood. He could be in for a big night.
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