Both teams have failed to live up to pre-season expectations but it should be a tight, competitive match when the Crows host the Saints on Saturday night at the AFL oval.
Best Bet
The Saints seldom get blown out and look a great bet to keep this game close, if not cause an upset.
Six of the Saints ten losses this season have come by ten points or less, while only two by more than 20 points.
St Kilda have typically been good travellers this season having covered in four of six on the road, including their only game at the Adelaide Oval.
While they have only won two of seven as outsiders (albeit one of those was last week against the Swans), Ross Lyon’s men have been excellent against the number, having covered in six of seven when getting points.
Adelaide have been very poor favourites this season, only having won two of six outright.
The Crows form at the Adelaide Oval has been poor as well, having won three and only covered in three from nine games.
The home side go into this game without their best player this season Izak Rankine, as well as vital defender Mitch Hinge.
The numbers point strongly to the Saints in this one.
Insights
🌟 Adelaide Crows as Favourites: The Crows have struggled as favourites, achieving only 3 wins in their last 8 games.
🟡 St Kilda Away Performance: In the last 9 games away, St Kilda has achieved 7 total unders, indicating a trend towards low-scoring games.
🏡 Adelaide Crows at Home: In their last 9 games at home, the Crows have achieved 3 wins.
Same Game Multi
With Mitch Hinge out, Mark Keane, who has had 15 or more in five of seven, should get the bulk of the kick in duties. Nick Murray has not played much but should see a spike in his numbers without Hinge.
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera and Jack Sinclair are super consistent ball winners for the Saints who like to control possession.
Value Bet
The Saints get involved in plenty of tight games and they look a big price to cause the upset in this one, particularly by a small margin.
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